Universal Prediction Layer

The Universal Prediction Layer is the umbrella architecture behind Pools Markets. It is a system boundary and product direction, not a single service or contract.


Launchpads + Chains + Data Sources
                 │
                 ▼
       Universal Asset Layer
                 │
        NormalizedAssetState
                 │
        ┌────────┴────────┐
        ▼                 ▼
Market Intelligence  Deterministic Attention
        └────────┬────────┘
                 ▼
       Market Synthesis Engine
                 ▼
       Economic Security Engine
                 ▼
        Prediction Protocol
                 ▲
                 │
     Verified Settlement Evidence

Layer responsibilities

Component	Responsibility	Explicitly does not do
Universal Asset Layer	Normalize token, launch and market state	Hold funds or create markets directly
Market intelligence	Discover relevant events and propose structured intents	Define executable rules or resolve markets
Market Synthesis Engine	Deterministically compile eligible market specifications	Guess missing semantics
Economic Security Engine	Reject unsafe markets and bound exposure	Override settlement rules
Prediction Protocol	Hold stakes, freeze state, settle and pay	Select markets from social attention

Trust separation

The design preserves a strict boundary:

AI discovers a question. Code defines the market. Verified evidence determines the outcome.

An intelligence outage can reduce discovery quality, but it must not prevent an existing market from locking, resolving or paying.

Universal does not mean bridged

Pools Markets can present one experience across launchpads and chains while keeping funds and settlement chain-local. A market’s collateral, outcome pools and payout remain on the network where that market was created unless a separate, explicitly documented cross-chain protocol is introduced.